The book is fascinating. The author is precise, practical-minded, has a wry sense of humor that shows up occasionally, and he is strongly opinionated. Perhaps after all his experiences in the investment world and now crossing sixty years and traveling on his own around the world twice to take stock of everything, he definitely is entitled to his opinions, however harsh or unpleasant they may be. The book is interspersed with happenings in his personal life such as his wedding, his father’s death from cancer and the birth of his baby daughter all of which, though of no real relevance to the reader, serve to give his thoughts a human face. But, most of all, his take on the cultural, geographical and social elements that peppered his journey have provided me with a perspective that I’ve always thirsted for, for satisfaction of both my long-time personal curiosity and of my recent investor outlook.His journey with his young fiancee, Paige Parker, starts in Reykjavik, Iceland, the country where geologically the Western and Eastern Hemispheres meet. From there, he traveled over 152,000 miles through 116 countries, interacting with the local people and trying to get a gist of the politico-economic and cultural environment. It would take me one or two more reads of this book to assimilate all that he has to say. Many of the places that he has described are ones that I’ve never heard of. He has been lucky in many of the border crossings, in getting permission and, mostly, getting in and out alive under harsh conditions of border wars and ethnic unrests.
In Europe, he speaks of the growing menace of low birth rates that are afflicting most countries with the exception of Ireland. The cities are old and so are the people. This, economically, presents a bleak picture of the future as countries are burdened with the responsibility of looking after the costs of living of retired citizens with no young blood infusing fresh money into the economy. He feels countries like the UK are making a huge mistake in closing their borders to immigrants. The ethnic conflict among the European Union regarding Turkey is a case in point which he describes in detail. He repeatedly makes the point how when things are going smoothly everyone co-exists peacefully; but when things take a downturn, rather than analyzing things practically, it is the immigrants that are blamed first …. “those dirty foreigners.” This is a phenomenon the world over.
In Central Asia, things are not as bright as they are displayed with regards to the numerous countries that were formed from the disintegration of the USSR. There, the situation dictates that every man is for himself. The most powerful people drain as much as they can from their country’s economy to fatten their wallets. This insight is particularly useful to know, at a time when several dozens of asset management companies in India are coming out with new fund offerings on world economies, particularly the other emerging markets such as Russia. The stories of political unrest and dictatorship follows along familiar lines, such as the situation in Turkmenbashy.
From Central Asia, Rogers travels to his favorite stop – China. He is rather big on China in terms of a growing economic power. He smashes the prevailing notion that China is a communist country and exposes the fact that they are shrewd businessmen and capitalist at heart. He even compares their shrewdness and knowledgeability to the bumbling naïvety and ignorance of the American diplomats regarding finance. However, though he is so strong on the country, I do wonder what price economic growth is exacting from China. I’ve seen a National Geographic series of the environmental disasters that are shaping up with the extremely rapid pace of development that China is undergoing, not the least of which is the terrifying rate at which her major rivers are drying up. The pollution levels there are also worrying.
As he passes through Korea he remarks on the growing gap between the number of girls and boys being born in Asian countries. So true, even in India! The one child policy in China too has caused this mismatch in birth figures as boys are thought to be better for carrying the family name and business. Japan is another old nation with people depending on robots to look after their needs as there is hardly any younger population. The country is also closed to foreigners, which exacerbates the problem. Rogers speaks of the leap in technology in Mongolia through necessity.
After their wedding at the turn of the millennium, the Rogers travel through Africa, into several war-torn countries. Jim Rogers feels the countries, demarcated haphazardly by white nations several years ago, will only disintegrate further as no thought was given to ethnic backgrounds. There are always wars between factions of Muslims, between Christians and Muslims. He exposes NGO for the scams that they are and lets us know that charity sent from developed nations only serve to fatten the wallets of bureaucrats and middlemen, never reaching the people they were intended for. This is the case in most developing nations unfortunately. He is of the opinion that the African nations will disintegrate rapidly. Thereby he outlines his own plan of allowing Africa to rebuild nations along ethnic lines, of doing away with charity altogether and leaving the people to fend for themselves, in the process forcing the people to develop skills they are beginning to forget in the wake of free meals and corruption; this is an interesting take. I’ve learnt a lot about a lot of places in this continent that I’d never heard of.
From Africa he moved onto Egypt and the oil rich places of the Middle East: Abu Dhabi, Dubai, Saudi Arabia, Oman. He then moved onto Pakistan and India. He feels Pakistan will disintegrate as a nation in several decades’ time. His take on India seemed rather harsh too. India is plagued with bureaucratic control over everything, slowing economic progress. At the time of his travels both times, the country had just begun opening her borders to foreign investments. We all are aware of the socialist attitude of the newly independent nation that led to almost bankruptcy and the later move to liberalize investment. What Rogers saw on his trip was the political instability and a nation prone to violence. I feel he got his facts wrong when he stated that India has instigated war on her neighbors; it was the encroaching neighbors that forced India to take military action (or am I biased?). His description of the country is one of aggression, whereby citizens from different religious backgrounds do not get along well. Unfortunately, recent riots and outbreak of violence might’ve reinforced his opinion. He believes that Indians are jealous of China's progress and that India can in no way be compared to China in terms of development. Though initially riled at his rather blunt and harsh take on the country, it did set me to thinking that such an honest and disinterested opinion should actually make us think, on how to better the situation. The molestation that he narrates his young wife experienced in crowded villages by the menfolk would have only added to their low opinion of the people here. We Indians need to wake up and wake up fast.
I got a good perspective of the North East border of India, a part of the country that so very rarely is mentioned by the media. The dangerous zones there, the constant unrests and killings were highlighted in this book.
Thailand and Myanmar are beautiful places; Myanmar has rapidly grown poor with political instability and military rule
He speaks in detail of his trip in Australia, and South America. In South America, he has high hopes particularly of countries rich in natural resources but political instability yet again is making him cautious. Through South America he moves onto the North American continent and back home. He is equally critical of his own country's economy and his countrymen as he is of the rest of the world. I especially loved his criticism of Alan Greenspan, cutting him to size. America's willful and blissful ignorance of the rest of the world was something I too had witnessed.
I would need to re-read the book again to imprint his impressions onto my brain. He touches on several cultural aspects, economic aspects and it is hard to assimilate with one read. Like I said, the book has given me a wonderful perspective of what has been going on around the globe, in line with and in spite of globalization. Next time, I shall read this book with an atlas by my side and with the Google search engine open so that I can make a more in-depth research on all the places he has touched upon.





